The long-run analysis of the association between macroeconomic variables and suicide: the case of Turkic-speaking countries in Central Asia


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Okşak Y., Koyuncu C., Yilmaz R.

Central Asian Survey, vol.42, no.3, pp.597-616, 2023 (SSCI) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 42 Issue: 3
  • Publication Date: 2023
  • Doi Number: 10.1080/02634937.2023.2167808
  • Journal Name: Central Asian Survey
  • Journal Indexes: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus, Academic Search Premier, IBZ Online, International Bibliography of Social Sciences, Periodicals Index Online, Educational research abstracts (ERA), Geobase, Historical Abstracts, Humanities Abstracts, Index Islamicus, MLA - Modern Language Association Database, PAIS International, Political Science Complete, Public Affairs Index, Social services abstracts, Sociological abstracts, Worldwide Political Science Abstracts
  • Page Numbers: pp.597-616
  • Keywords: suicides, unemployment, inflation, income per capita, economic crisis, Turkic-speaking countries in Central Asia, ECONOMIC-CRISIS, FINANCIAL CRISIS, PANEL-DATA, UNEMPLOYMENT, HEALTH, RATES, MORTALITY, PERESTROIKA, DEPRESSION, RECESSION
  • Bursa Uludag University Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

© 2023 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.Using an unbalanced data set covering the years from 1990 to 2017, this study examines the long-run relationship between three selected macroeconomic variables (unemployment, per capita gross domestic product (GDP) and inflation) and suicide rates for Turkic-speaking countries in Central Asia and the South Caucasus (Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan). The mean group estimation results suggest that among the three macroeconomic variables under study, only the unemployment rate has a statistically significant relationship with the suicide rate for the Central Asian Turkic-speaking countries. Regarding country-specific estimations, results suggest that all macroeconomic variables under study correlate with the suicide rate for some countries in the sample. Overall, the empirical findings of the study suggest that unemployment and per capita GDP are important contributors of suicide and intentional self-harm in Central Asia. Estimation results also call attention to the inflation rate.