Application of artificial neural networks for short term wind speed forecasting in Mardin, Turkey

Nogay H. S., Akıncı T. Ç., Eidukeviciute M.

JOURNAL OF ENERGY IN SOUTHERN AFRICA, cilt.23, sa.4, ss.2-7, 2012 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 23 Sayı: 4
  • Basım Tarihi: 2012
  • Doi Numarası: 10.17159/2413-3051/2012/v23i4a3173
  • Dergi Adı: JOURNAL OF ENERGY IN SOUTHERN AFRICA
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.2-7
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: artificial neural network, back propagation, forecasting, wind speed
  • Bursa Uludağ Üniversitesi Adresli: Hayır

Özet

Artificial neural network models were used for short term wind speed forecasting in the Mardin area, located in the Southeast Anatolia region of Turkey. Using data that was obtained from the State Meteorological Service and that encompassed a ten year period, short term wind speed forecasting for the Mardin area was performed. A number of different ANN models were developed in this study. The model with 60 neurons is the most successful model for short term wind speed forecasting. The mean squared error and approximation values for training of this model were 0.378088 and 0.970490, respectively. The ANN models developed in the study have produced satisfactory results. The most successful among those models constitutes a model that can be used by the Mardin Electric Utility Control Centre.