Exploring Hydrological Response to Land Use/Land Cover Change Using the SWAT+ Model in the İznik Lake Watershed, Türkiye

Tezel A. Ç., AKPINAR A., Bor A., Alfredsen K. T.

Water (Switzerland), cilt.17, sa.13, 2025 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 17 Sayı: 13
  • Basım Tarihi: 2025
  • Doi Numarası: 10.3390/w17131924
  • Dergi Adı: Water (Switzerland)
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Agricultural & Environmental Science Database, Aqualine, Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA), CAB Abstracts, Compendex, Environment Index, Food Science & Technology Abstracts, Geobase, INSPEC, Pollution Abstracts, Veterinary Science Database, Directory of Open Access Journals
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: hydrological modeling, land use change, SWAT+ model, İznik Lake Watershed
  • Bursa Uludağ Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Land use/land cover (LULC) changes significantly affect hydrological processes in watersheds. In this study, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT+) model was employed to investigate the hydrological response to LULC changes in the İznik Lake Watershed, a region of significant environmental and social importance in the Marmara Region of Türkiye. This study provides a novel understanding of water balance dynamics of the İznik Lake Watershed through hydrological modeling. The SWAT+ model was calibrated and validated against observed monthly flow data from two gauging stations using three objective functions: Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE), and the percent bias (PBIAS). The model was utilized to evaluate the impacts of LULC change on water balance components such as surface runoff, percolation, lateral flow, water yield, and evapotranspiration. The results revealed that the expansion of urban areas and reduction in forest land have led to an increase in surface runoff and a decrease in lateral flow and percolation, which in turn have impacted the overall water yield of the watershed. The findings of this study can inform land use planning and management decisions to mitigate the negative impacts of LULC changes on water resources in the İznik Lake Watershed and similar regions.