Possibilities of steering the transportation planning process in the face of bounded rationality and unbounded uncertainty


Khisty C., Arslan T.

TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART C-EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES, cilt.13, sa.2, ss.77-92, 2005 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

Özet

This paper describes and discusses the possibilities of steering the transportation planning process in the face of bounded rationality and unbounded uncertainty: (a) through the introduction of the concept of 'systemicity'; (b) by expanding the spectrum of the existing planning paradigm currently in use; (c) by reducing complexity through the application of tests of adequacy, dependency, suitability, and adaptability; (d) through the introduction of soft systems thinking; and (e) by using 'abductive' in addition to deductive and inductive inferencing. It is concluded that the application of these strategies, adjustments, and tests to the existing planning procedure will hopefully enrich and strengthen our planning effort and make it more robust. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.