Impact of sea level rise on groundwater in ancient Olympos: Modeling from ∼500 BC to today


Bingul B., Pekkan E., KORKMAZ S., Tun M., Mutlu S.

Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, cilt.139, 2025 (SCI-Expanded) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 139
  • Basım Tarihi: 2025
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1016/j.pce.2025.103960
  • Dergi Adı: Physics and Chemistry of the Earth
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Academic Search Premier, Aerospace Database, Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA), Artic & Antarctic Regions, Chimica, Communication Abstracts, Compendex, Geobase, INSPEC, Metadex, Pollution Abstracts, Civil Engineering Abstracts
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Field study, Groundwater modeling, MODFLOW, Olympos, The Building with Mosaics
  • Bursa Uludağ Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

In the ancient port city of Olympos, located in Antalya, Türkiye, groundwater rise due to long-term sea-level increase threatens significant archaeological structures. Historically, an ancient lake in the northern part of the city, once drained by channels, has transformed into a swamp due to sediment accumulation and channel dysfunctionality, resulting in raised groundwater levels. Consequently, structures like the Building with Mosaics (BM), a prominent archaeological structure from the Early Byzantine Period, have become partially submerged. To investigate this phenomenon, a detailed field study was conducted in May 2017, where meteorological data (precipitation and evapotranspiration), geological, hydrogeological, and high-precision topographic measurements were collected. Groundwater levels were monitored via observation wells, and a tracer test using Rhodamine WT was conducted to estimate hydraulic conductivity. These datasets were utilized to develop steady-state groundwater flow models for three periods (∼500 BC, ∼AD 1, and the present) using MODFLOW software. Results indicated groundwater level increases around BM from approximately 0.33 m (∼500 BC) to 1.62 m (∼AD 1) and 3.55 m (present day). Additionally, the ancient lake's area decreased significantly from 30,000 m2 (∼AD 1) to 14,325 m2 currently due to sedimentation. These findings underscore how sea-level rise and sedimentation influence groundwater dynamics, highlighting the necessity for targeted groundwater management strategies to safeguard archaeological heritage.