THE FORECAST OF CORN PRODUCTION FIELDS IN TURKEY WITH ARIMA MODEL

TİPİ T., ERDAL B.

ROMANIAN AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH, cilt.38, ss.479-486, 2021 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 38
  • Basım Tarihi: 2021
  • Dergi Adı: ROMANIAN AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, CAB Abstracts, Veterinary Science Database
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.479-486
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: corn, unit root test, ARIMA, Turkey, HYBRID ARIMA
  • Bursa Uludağ Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Corn has an important place in animal nutrition in addition to its importance in human nutrition in Turkey. Correct agricultural policies and strategies should be developed to increase corn production, which is a very important agricultural product in both human nutrition and animal husbandry. In this context, considering the corn cultivation areas of 1970-2019, predicting future corn cultivation areas is very important in terms of developing correct policies and planning production. This study aims to predict the cultivation areas of corn in the years 2020- 2030 as a product that has not been analyzed using ARIMA models before. To accomplish this objective, data from a total of 50 years during the period 1970-2019 and the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model were used to estimate the corn cultivation areas in Turkey.